CHADS₂ Score for Atrial Fibrillation Stroke Risk

CHADS2 Score for Atrial Fibrillation Stroke Risk

Assesses stroke risk in atrial fibrillation based on 5 factors

CHADS₂ Score for Atrial Fibrillation Stroke Risk

CHADS2 Score for Atrial Fibrillation Stroke Risk

Assesses stroke risk in atrial fibrillation based on 5 factors

Patient
For non-valvular AF. Age contributes +1 if ≥75 years.
Age ≥75: +1
Risk factors
CHADS₂ 1Intermediate
Estimated annual stroke risk: ≈2.8% · C0 · H0 · A1 · D0 · S₂0

Instructions

Use the CHADS₂ score tool faithfully by gathering five key patient-specific data points: presence of congestive heart failure, known hypertension, age 75 or older, a history of diabetes, and any prior stroke or transient ischemic attack. Assign scores as follows: one point for heart failure, hypertension, age 75+, and diabetes; two points for prior stroke or TIA. Tally the points to generate the total score. Apply the score promptly in patients diagnosed with non-valvular atrial fibrillation to estimate annual stroke risk and guide anticoagulation decisions. Always complement this tool with clinical judgment and follow regional practice guidelines.

Overview
When to use
Why use
Evidences

Interpretation

CHADS2 Score

Interpretation

0

Low-risk

1-2

Intermediate risk

3-4

High risk

5-6

Very high risk

 

  • Original validation (JAMA 2001): In 1,733 Medicare patients with AF, CHADS₂ outperformed prior schemes; annual stroke risk rose from 1.9% at score 0 to 18.2% at score 6 without antithrombotic therapy, with roughly 1.5-fold risk escalation per point.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/11401607/

  • Comparative utility: Analyses note CHADS₂’s broad use and simplicity, while recognizing CHA₂DS₂-VASc refines identification of truly low-risk patients, reducing the “moderate-risk” gray zone.
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3796700/

  • Public health context: AF accounts for a substantial proportion of ischemic strokes and associated mortality, highlighting the importance of systematic risk assessment and prevention strategies
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11648035/

Overview
When to use
Why use
Evidences

The CHADS₂ score is a straightforward clinical tool that helps estimate the risk of ischemic stroke in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF). This tool is recognized for its simplicity and has long served as a foundational risk stratification instrument. It assigns one point each for congestive heart failure, hypertension, age 75 or older, and diabetes mellitus, and two points for a history of stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA). The total score ranges from 0 to 6.

Annual stroke risk increases as the score rises. Patients scoring 0 have approximately a 1.9 percent yearly risk, while those scoring 1 face a risk of about 2.8 percent; score 2 corresponds to roughly 4.0 percent; score 3 to about 5.9 percent; score 4 reaches around 8.5 percent; score 5 reaches 12.5 percent; and a maximum score of 6 may approach 18.2 percent annual risk. 

Although the CHADS₂ score remains widely used because of its ease, it has limitations. Notably, it may classify patients with genuinely low risk as moderate risk, potentially prompting unnecessary anticoagulation. In contrast, the newer CHA₂DS₂-VASc score refines risk assessment by adding age 65-74, female sex, and vascular disease as risk factors, and by giving two points for age 75+, enhancing the identification of truly low-risk patients

Overview
When to use
Why use
Evidences

Interpretation

CHADS2 Score

Interpretation

0

Low-risk

1-2

Intermediate risk

3-4

High risk

5-6

Very high risk

 

  • Original validation (JAMA 2001): In 1,733 Medicare patients with AF, CHADS₂ outperformed prior schemes; annual stroke risk rose from 1.9% at score 0 to 18.2% at score 6 without antithrombotic therapy, with roughly 1.5-fold risk escalation per point.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/11401607/

  • Comparative utility: Analyses note CHADS₂’s broad use and simplicity, while recognizing CHA₂DS₂-VASc refines identification of truly low-risk patients, reducing the “moderate-risk” gray zone.
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3796700/

  • Public health context: AF accounts for a substantial proportion of ischemic strokes and associated mortality, highlighting the importance of systematic risk assessment and prevention strategies
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11648035/

Frequently Asked Questions

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What does CHADS₂ stand for?+
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What is the range of CHADS₂ score?+
What annual stroke risk does a CHADS₂ score of 3 imply?+
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When should I use CHA₂DS₂-VASc instead?+

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